Poll Finds Nearly 1 in 4 Republican Midterm Voters Are Leaning Towards Voting Against Trump in 2020

Nearly one-quarter of Americans who voted for Republican candidates for Congress in the 2018 midterms say they are “definitely not” or “leaning against” voting for President Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential elections, a soon-to-be-released poll has found.

Speaking at a lunch event in the build-up to the the American Principles Project Foundation’s fifth-annual Red White and Blue Gala dinner at the historic Mayflower Hotel last week, University of Texas at Austin sociology professor and author Mark Regnerus presented data from an extensive post-midterm survey that sought to examine the impact that family structures had on the 2018 midterm elections.

The survey, which was conducted for the Austin Institute for the Study of Family and Culture, is based on a nationally representative sample of 5,285 Americans who were questioned just following the Nov. 8 election.

“We went into the field a couple days after the election and pulled out of the field may be a week-and-a-half later,” Regnerus told donors and other supporters in attendance for the event hosted by the socially conservative think tank. “Got this data last week. I am showing you what very few people have seen.”

According to Regnerus, the survey found that married Americans carried the “bulk of the weight” of the GOP House vote in the 2018 midterm while just 27 percent of respondents who have never been married and 27 percent of cohabitors voted for Republicans in the 2018 House vote.

The survey also found that 79 percent of married Americans said they definitely plan to vote in the 2020 presidential election, which would become their highest turnout rate, Regnerus said. He added that turnout records were also set for married Americans in 2014 and 2018.

Also among the findings, 84 percent of respondents who said they voted for President Donald Trump in the 2016 election said they again intend to back him in the 2020 presidential election.

Meanwhile, 13 percent of respondents who said they voted for a Republican for the House of Representatives in 2018 “are definitely not” going to vote for Trump in 2020. Additionally, 10 percent of respondents who voted for Republican for Congress in 2018 said they were “leaning against” voting for Trump in 2020.

“If you put that if you put that together, that is almost a quarter of GOP voters who said: ‘I don’t know about this president for next time,’” Regnerus explained, disclosing that results could be different once there is a better picture of who the Democratic candidate will be in 2020. “Only 53 percent of GOP midterm voters said they are definitely voting for the president in 2020.”

Additionally, over half of Trump’s 2016 voters who voted for Democrats for House of Representatives in 2018 say they are “leaning against” voting for Trump in 2020.

The survey also found that only 2.3 percent of respondents who voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016 said they plan to vote for Trump in 2020.

“I am not going to lean too heavily into this stuff because there is no Democratic candidate yet and until you have one, you are kind of asking questions into the dark: ‘what do you think about the current president?’” Regnerus said.

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SOURCE: Christian Post, Samuel Smith