Cities such as Tampa and Dubai will become increasingly vulnerable to rare, global-warming-fueled superstorms in the future, according to a new study.
Scientists have dubbed such phenomena “grey swan” storms. The name is meant as a comparison to the term “black swan,” which are unpredicted events that have a major impact. Although “grey swans” are highly unlikely, they can still be predicted with some level of confidence, researchers said in the study published Monday.
The study, which looked at tropical cyclones (hurricanes and typhoons), said the likelihood of the “grey swans” will increase due to man-made climate change, as warmer seawater will up the chances of the storms forming. Such storms need water of at least 80 degrees to develop.
The research was published in the peer-reviewed journal Nature Climate Change and was led by Ning Lin of Princeton and Kerry Emmanuel of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, a noted hurricane expert.
Researchers used computer models and past storm records to make their predictions of how often these big storms might hit.
Click here to read more.
SOURCE: USA Today, Doyle Rice