Will Latino Evangelicals Be the Voters that Turn the 2016 Election?

Latino voters

Presidential candidates in 2016 will need to attract a more diverse crowd than ever and that includes the evangelical vote. According to the Pew Research Center, 25 percent of evangelicals are now non-white and their numbers are growing.

White House contenders attending this month’s National Hispanic Christian Leadership Conference annual convention in Houston signaled that Latino evangelicals are a demographic with emerging political clout.

Both former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, an officially announced candidate, addressed the convention.

“You can’t deny the fact that it [Hispanics] is the single highest growing community in America,” Christianity Today President and CEO Harold Smith, also at the convention, noted.

Gus Reyes, COO of the NHCLC told CBN News, “If I was running a campaign I would say to my leader ‘We need to be there.'”

Mat Staver, founder and chairman of Liberty Counsel noted, “There’s no question that they’re courting the NHCLC and they’re courting the Latino community because they understand that this is a huge constituency that can and frankly will turn the election.”

Can’t Ignore This Group

Here’s why presidential candidates can’t ignore this group. Right now, despite some recent declines, self-identified Christians make up more than 70 percent of the U.S. population. A Pew Research Center study this year shows that evangelicals make up a quarter of that group, having declined only slightly in recent years compared to other Christian groups.

Also, Latinos are a growing part of the evangelical population. They currently make up 11 percent of all evangelicals in the United States. Catholics also account for one-fifth of the U.S. Christian population and Hispanic Catholics are their fastest-growing racial group. One in three Catholics is Hispanic.

Rev. Samuel Rodriguez, NHCLC president, told CBN News that candidates will want to focus on Latinos and in particular, Latino evangelicals.

“Latino evangelicals will play a significant role in determining who occupies the White House after 2016, without a doubt,” he said.

The electoral math is also significant. Dr. Larry Sabato, director of the University of Virginia Center for Politics, predicts seven swing states in 2016: Colorado, Florida, Nevada, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, and New Hampshire. In three of those states, Hispanics make up more than 15 percent of eligible voters.

It’s no wonder then that candidates are speaking Spanish, making faith-based appeals or both.

“I do not come to you tonight with the ability to speak Spanish but I do speak a common language — I speak Jesus,” Huckabee told NHCLC attenders in Houston.

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Heather Sells

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