Republicans continue to thwart economic recovery to discourage turnout among young black and brown voters in the 2014 midterms. It won’t work.
With only six months to go before the midterm elections, a meta-narrative is emerging that the electoral landscape favors the GOP. Journalists, political strategists and talking heads across the political spectrum are regurgitating the pollster line that a majority of potential voters—especially the ever elusive “independent”—are leaning Republican in 2014. And polling data suggest that 18- to 29-year-olds aren’t interested in voting at all.
A recent Harvard University Institute of Politics survey found that less than 1 in 4 young Americans say they will “definitely be voting” this November.
Black and Latino millennials are said to be so disillusioned that they see no need to vote. They report that they’re even less likely—at a rate of 19 percent, compared with 27 percent of their white counterparts—to cast a ballot. By contrast, Republicans of every age are more enthusiastic about voting, with 44 percent saying they will definitely vote—compared with 35 percent of Democrats.
In general, these predictions follow historic trends in which Democratic constituencies are more likely to vote during presidential elections, while constituencies that lean Republican are more reliable in off-year elections. But recent changes in voting patterns among young and minority voters leave the continuation of those trends in doubt.
In 2008 and 2012, young African Americans voted in larger percentages (pdf) than their white counterparts. And the percentage of black voters of all ages exceeded that of whites. So has any pollster bothered to ask why young black millennials are unenthusiastic about this election?
Source: The Root | EDWARD WYCKOFF WILLIAMS